Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira vs Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias has a slight edge in second serve points, winning 40.23% compared to Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira's 38.33%. Could this advantage influence the match?
• In terms of return games, Arias is stronger on second serve returns, winning 47.60% of points, while Nogueira captures 41.18%. But when it comes to first serves, Nogueira is ahead with 33.05% versus Arias’s 28.23%.
• When under pressure during breakpoints, Nogueira has a slight edge, saving 55.74% compared to Arias's 50.47%.
• Over the past year, Arias has a better win rate, achieving 60.00% (18 wins, 12 losses), while Nogueira stands at 50.00% (9 wins, 9 losses).
• Both players share similar success on clay and hard surfaces, each with a peak win rate on Hard for Arias and Clay for Nogueira, but their records are evenly matched with slight differences.
• Arias's greater success on Futures/ITF matches, with a 62.07% win rate, gives him a performance edge over Nogueira's 50.00%.
• Facing higher-ranked opponents gives Nogueira more challenging match experience, with his competitors averaging a rank of 47.78, compared to Arias's 274.4.
• In deciding sets, Arias has been dominant, winning 80% of them over the past year, while Nogueira has only won 40%.
• Break point conversion stats favor Arias, who converts 37.78% of them, while Nogueira has managed 23.53%.

Editorial Prediction (November 27, 2025, UTC):

As we prepare for the upcoming tennis match, the stats present a fascinating comparison between Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira and Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias. Each player brings specific strengths to the court, suggesting a potentially close contest.

Arias holds a slight advantage in both second serve performance and break point conversion, which are critical in high-stakes matches. His superior record in deciding sets further demonstrates his tenacity under pressure. However, Nogueira excels in saving breakpoints, providing a solid defensive angle.

Despite Nogueira having faced opponents with a significantly higher average ranking, Arias's overall win rate and experience on the ITF circuit give him a competitive advantage. His proficiency in converting crucial points could prove decisive.

Taking all factors into account, Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias appears to be the favorite in this matchup. His consistent performance metrics, combined with competitive resolve in key moments, suggest a likely victory in this encounter.